Al Ahli Manama 3-2 East Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 9 Jan 2025

📅09/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.98
2-3 Goals
47%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.53
6+ Goals
8%
14.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+8.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY East Riffa EU Bookmakers 29%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.93/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.41
-50% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Manama
4W-1D-1L
AWAY East Riffa
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.02.2024 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-0 HT 1-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
24.09.2023 East Riffa East Riffa 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
08.02.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-0 HT 0-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
08.12.2022 East Riffa East Riffa 2-4 HT 1-2 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
18.02.2022 East Riffa East Riffa 3-4 HT 0-2 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
08.12.2021 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 2-2 East Riffa East Riffa BAHFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Manama
3-2
AWAY East Riffa
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Manama vs East Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Manama squeezed past East Riffa 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahli Manama as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Ahli Manama had 48% of the ball to East Riffa's 52%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Manama had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Ahli Manama and 1.50 for East Riffa.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Manama vs East Riffa?

Al Ahli Manama 3-2 East Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 09/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Manama vs East Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Manama 43%, draw 24%, East Riffa 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Manama) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Manama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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