Al Ahli Manama 1-0 East Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.29
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 31% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY East Riffa EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.16/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.02
-3% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Manama
3W-1D-2L
AWAY East Riffa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 East Riffa East Riffa 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
08.02.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-0 HT 0-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
08.12.2022 East Riffa East Riffa 2-4 HT 1-2 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
18.02.2022 East Riffa East Riffa 3-4 HT 0-2 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
08.12.2021 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 2-2 East Riffa East Riffa BAHFK
20.11.2021 East Riffa East Riffa 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Manama vs East Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Manama nicked a narrow win over East Riffa 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Al Ahli Manama found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Manama had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Ahli Manama and 1.83 for East Riffa.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Manama vs East Riffa?

Al Ahli Manama 1-0 East Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Manama vs East Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Manama 37%, draw 27%, East Riffa 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Manama), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Manama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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