Manama 1-1 Al Shabab Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 14 Feb 2024

Manama
1-1 HT 1-1
Al Shabab Manama
📅14/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Bahrain - Premier League – 2023/2024

Manama vs Al Shabab Manama Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 31% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manama v Al Shabab Manama — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manama EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 26%
-15% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.07/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.29
-40% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.6

Manama vs Al Shabab Manama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manama
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.09.2023 Manama Manama 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
22.09.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 2-0 HT 0-0 Manama Manama BAH
15.04.2023 Manama Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
02.12.2022 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-1 HT 0-0 Manama Manama BAH
22.03.2022 Manama Manama 2-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAHFK
04.12.2020 Manama Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAHKK
POST-MATCH Manama vs Al Shabab Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manama and Al Shabab Manama couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Manama at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manama had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Manama and 0.33 for Al Shabab Manama.

What was the final score of Manama vs Al Shabab Manama?

Manama 1-1 Al Shabab Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manama vs Al Shabab Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Manama 45%, draw 28%, Al Shabab Manama 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Manama), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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