Sheffield United 0-1 Cardiff City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 9 Jan 2025

Sheffield United
0-1 HT 0-1
Cardiff City
📅09/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2024/2025

Sheffield United vs Cardiff City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.71
Over Pick
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2.78
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
24%
3.94
6+
11%
18.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.13
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
19%
4.71
X/2
12%
6.51
X/X
11%
4.3
2/1 ✗
9%
28.0
2/2
13%
4.94
2/X
8%
14.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sheffield United v Cardiff City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.13/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/0.95
-34% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +59%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
398 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
– Crosses 26.0
– Yellow Cards –

Sheffield United vs Cardiff City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield United
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Cardiff City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.75 xG 0.80
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
396 Passes 267
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.12.2024 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-2 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
15.04.2023 Sheffield United Sheffield United 4-1 HT 1-1 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
12.11.2022 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
23.04.2022 Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
04.12.2021 Cardiff City Cardiff City 2-3 HT 1-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
02.04.2018 Sheffield United Sheffield United 1-1 HT 1-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL

Sheffield United 0-1 Cardiff City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield United
0-1
AWAY Cardiff City
0.95 xG 1.14
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
412 Passes 222
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH Sheffield United vs Cardiff City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City squeezed past Sheffield United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sheffield United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sheffield United had 61% of the ball to Cardiff City's 39%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.95 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sheffield United had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sheffield United and 0.67 for Cardiff City.

What was the final score of Sheffield United vs Cardiff City?

Sheffield United 0-1 Cardiff City in the England - FA Cup on 09/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield United vs Cardiff City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sheffield United 45%, draw 24%, Cardiff City 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sheffield United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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