Cadiz 3-2 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 9 Jan 2026

Cadiz
3 - 2 HT 1 - 0
Sporting Gijon
📅09/01/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.56
Draw
33%
3.02
Away
33%
2.61
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.61
Over
40%
2.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.97
No
52%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.42
2-3
48%
1.77
4-5
16%
4.76
6+
3%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.09
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
14%
5.56
X/2
13%
5.58
X/X
22%
3.86
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
18%
4.12
2/X
5%
13.9
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Cadiz v Sporting Gijon — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Cadiz The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon The Market 38%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.33 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.30
0.96 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.07
Average Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Great
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3

Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cadiz
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.71 xG 0.91
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
315 Passes 370
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.04.2025 Cadiz Cadiz 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
02.11.2024 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-0 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
15.01.2022 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-0 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İSPK
21.02.2020 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-0 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
01.11.2019 Cadiz Cadiz 3-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
08.06.2019 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-0 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS2

Cadiz 3-2 Sporting Gijon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cadiz
3 - 2
AWAY Sporting Gijon
2.26 xG 3.40
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 25
5 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 15
232 Passes 402
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 47
16 Crosses 45
4 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cadiz squeezed past Sporting Gijon 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Cadiz found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, Sporting Gijon saw more of the ball, 62% to 38%, shots finished 10-25, expected goals 2.26 to 3.40 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sporting Gijon.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Cadiz against 0.83 for Sporting Gijon.

Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon Result & Final Score

Cadiz 3 - 2 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 09/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Cadiz win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Cadiz 34%, draw 33%, Sporting Gijon 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cadiz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cadiz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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