Wrexham 3-3 Nottingham Forest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 9 Jan 2026

📅09/01/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
40%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.95
Over
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.74
No
48%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.41
2-3
39%
1.77
4-5
21%
3.25
6+
10%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.41 — our 30% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
6.92
1/2
8%
22.7
1/X
7%
15.7
X/1
12%
8.86
X/2
15%
4.34
X/X
10%
5.32
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
17%
2.32
2/X
7%
14.4
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest The Market 57%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
0.94 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 2.59
1.29 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.09
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Great Defensevs comparable teams Bad
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
218 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.7
14.0 Crosses 27.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
3-3
AWAY Nottingham Forest
2.60 xG 2.76
38% Ball Possession 62%
17 Total Shots 31
7 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 7
347 Passes 648
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 57
23 Crosses 41
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Wrexham vs Nottingham Forest
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

a 3-3 draw left Wrexham and Nottingham Forest with a point apiece. The 2-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the over-2.5 price stood at 1.82, roughly 55%.

On the day, Nottingham Forest saw more of the ball, 62% to 38%, shots finished 17-31, expected goals 2.60 to 2.76.

Wrexham vs Nottingham Forest Result & Final Score

Wrexham 3-3 Nottingham Forest in the England - FA Cup on 09/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Wrexham vs Nottingham Forest Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 35%, draw 25%, Nottingham Forest 40%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nottingham Forest), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nottingham Forest) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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