Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Port Vale v Fleetwood Town — Team-Based Signals
Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Port Vale 1-0 Fleetwood Town — Actual Match Statistics
Port Vale squeezed past Fleetwood Town 1-0.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Port Vale as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 52%. If anything the market was more convinced: the over-2.5 price stood at 1.85, roughly 54%.
On the day, Port Vale had 45% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 55%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.73 to 1.23.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Port Vale and 2.00 for Fleetwood Town.
Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town Result & Final Score
Port Vale 1-0 Fleetwood Town in the England - FA Cup on 09/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 50%, draw 26%, Fleetwood Town 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Port Vale), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.