Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Port Vale v Fleetwood Town — Team-Based Signals
Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-1
Fleetwood Town
İNLK
1-1
HT 0-0
Port Vale
İN1
2-1
HT 2-1
Fleetwood Town
İN1
2-1
HT 1-0
Port Vale
İNLK
Port Vale 3-1 Fleetwood Town — Actual Match Statistics
Port Vale beat Fleetwood Town 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Port Vale made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Port Vale had 56% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 44%, shots finished 7-6, expected goals 1.08 to 1.52 — the balance of chances actually favoured Fleetwood Town.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Port Vale and 1.83 for Fleetwood Town.
What was the final score of Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town?
Port Vale 3-1 Fleetwood Town in the England - 2nd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 38%, draw 29%, Fleetwood Town 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Port Vale) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.