Colchester 1-2 Cheltenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.36
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.9
X/1
16%
3.93
X/2
7%
8.83
X/X
9%
4.47
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
14%
7.3
2/X
10%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colchester EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
2.01/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.37
-11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
374 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
26.1 Crosses 14.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colchester
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cheltenham Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.49 xG 1.54
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
249 Passes 326
67% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.04.2021 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
29.12.2020 Colchester Colchester 0-0 HT 0-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
29.02.2020 Colchester Colchester 0-2 HT 0-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
23.11.2019 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
09.02.2019 Colchester Colchester 3-0 HT 2-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
01.09.2018 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-3 HT 0-2 Colchester Colchester İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colchester
1-2
AWAY Cheltenham Town
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
334 Passes 112
70% Pass Accuracy 48%
POST-MATCH Colchester vs Cheltenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheltenham Town edged past Colchester 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Colchester at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Colchester had 67% of the ball to Cheltenham Town's 33%, shots finished 20-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Colchester and 0.83 for Cheltenham Town.

What was the final score of Colchester vs Cheltenham Town?

Colchester 1-2 Cheltenham Town in the England - 2nd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colchester vs Cheltenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colchester win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Colchester 45%, draw 27%, Cheltenham Town 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Colchester) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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