Accrington Stanley 1-0 Barrow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 31% vs market 25.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.76
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
15%
5.44
X/2
10%
5.35
X/X
15%
4.63
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
11%
3.67
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-6.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Barrow EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +10%
1.22/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.32
-6% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
271 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 68%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
22.8 Crosses 20.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Accrington Stanley
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Barrow
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.30 xG 1.55
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
291 Passes 259
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.12.2023 Barrow Barrow 1-1 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
15.08.2023 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-1 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İN2
31.08.2021 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 2-2 HT 1-0 Barrow Barrow İNTK
10.11.2020 Barrow Barrow 0-1 HT 0-1 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accrington Stanley
1-0
AWAY Barrow
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 9
107 Passes 377
48% Pass Accuracy 76%
POST-MATCH Accrington Stanley vs Barrow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accrington Stanley nicked a narrow win over Barrow 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Accrington Stanley as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Accrington Stanley had 31% of the ball to Barrow's 69%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Accrington Stanley and 1.00 for Barrow.

What was the final score of Accrington Stanley vs Barrow?

Accrington Stanley 1-0 Barrow in the England - 2nd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accrington Stanley vs Barrow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Accrington Stanley win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Accrington Stanley 42%, draw 28%, Barrow 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Accrington Stanley), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Accrington Stanley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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