Bradford City 2-1 Gillingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 19 Oct 2024

Bradford City
2-1
Gillingham
📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Bradford City vs Gillingham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
18.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.6
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
10%
4.25
X/2
8%
7.92
X/X
15%
4.32
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
13%
6.24
2/X
8%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bradford City v Gillingham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gillingham EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.49/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.16
-19% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 69%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
22.6 Crosses 15.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Bradford City vs Gillingham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gillingham
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.29 xG 0.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
240 Passes 200
63% Pass Accuracy 60%
22 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Bradford City Bradford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
16.12.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 0-2 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
22.04.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 2-2 HT 0-1 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
28.02.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 0-2 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
22.04.2019 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
27.10.2018 Gillingham Gillingham 4-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN1

Bradford City 2-1 Gillingham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford City
2-1
AWAY Gillingham
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
269 Passes 314
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
POST-MATCH Bradford City vs Gillingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City nicked a narrow win over Gillingham 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bradford City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bradford City had 47% of the ball to Gillingham's 53%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bradford City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bradford City and 1.17 for Gillingham.

What was the final score of Bradford City vs Gillingham?

Bradford City 2-1 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford City vs Gillingham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 42%, draw 30%, Gillingham 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bradford City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bradford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
19 Oct 2024
00:00 Accrington Stanley vs Barrow Analysis →
00:00 Colchester vs Cheltenham Town Analysis →
00:00 Notts County vs AFC Wimbledon Analysis →
00:00 Grimsby Town vs Walsall Analysis →
00:00 Morecambe vs Milton Keynes Dons Analysis →
00:00 Swindon Town vs Doncaster Rovers Analysis →