Bradford City 1-0 Gillingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.62
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.35
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
11%
4.73
X/2
12%
6.0
X/X
16%
3.98
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
17%
4.69
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bradford City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gillingham EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.42/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.99
+6% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
262 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 62%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
21.0 Crosses 18.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bradford City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gillingham
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.34 xG 0.54
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
254 Passes 194
65% Pass Accuracy 59%
22 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.12.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 0-2 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
22.04.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 2-2 HT 0-1 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
28.02.2023 Gillingham Gillingham 0-2 HT 0-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
22.04.2019 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
27.10.2018 Gillingham Gillingham 4-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
24.03.2018 Bradford City Bradford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bradford City
1-0
AWAY Gillingham
1.15 xG 0.97
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
195 Passes 217
59% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bradford City vs Gillingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bradford City edged past Gillingham 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Bradford City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Bradford City had 49% of the ball to Gillingham's 51%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.15 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bradford City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bradford City and 1.17 for Gillingham.

What was the final score of Bradford City vs Gillingham?

Bradford City 1-0 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bradford City vs Gillingham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Bradford City 35%, draw 30%, Gillingham 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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