Morecambe 0-3 Doncaster Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 6 Apr 2024

Morecambe
0-3 HT 0-2
Doncaster Rovers
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Morecambe vs Doncaster Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 26% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.21
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
12%
5.95
X/2
14%
4.96
X/X
12%
4.73
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
21%
3.27
2/X
5%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Morecambe v Doncaster Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morecambe EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.55/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.55
-6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
324 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
20.5 Crosses 12.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Morecambe vs Doncaster Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morecambe
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.32 xG 1.30
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
243 Passes 238
68% Pass Accuracy 64%
27 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 0-5 HT 0-2 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
02.01.2022 Morecambe Morecambe 4-3 HT 0-3 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
18.09.2021 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Morecambe Morecambe İN1
04.02.2017 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-1 HT 0-1 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
10.09.2016 Morecambe Morecambe 1-5 HT 1-2 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2

Morecambe 0-3 Doncaster Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Morecambe
0-3
AWAY Doncaster Rovers
0.82 xG 2.03
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
267 Passes 229
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Morecambe vs Doncaster Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers ran out comfortable winners over Morecambe 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Doncaster Rovers as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Morecambe had 54% of the ball to Doncaster Rovers's 46%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.82 to 2.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Morecambe and 2.00 for Doncaster Rovers.

What was the final score of Morecambe vs Doncaster Rovers?

Morecambe 0-3 Doncaster Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morecambe vs Doncaster Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Morecambe 34%, draw 26%, Doncaster Rovers 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doncaster Rovers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
6 Apr 2024
17:00 Accrington Stanley vs Crewe Alexandra Analysis →
17:00 Notts County vs Harrogate Town Analysis →
17:00 Grimsby Town vs Newport County Analysis →
17:00 Forest Green Rovers vs Milton Keynes Dons Analysis →
17:00 Mansfield Town vs Crawley Town Analysis →
17:00 Sutton United vs Stockport County Analysis →