Accrington Stanley 0-0 Crewe Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 6 Apr 2024

Accrington Stanley
0-0 HT 0-0
Crewe Alexandra
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Accrington Stanley vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.87
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 28% vs market 20.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.02
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
12%
6.12
X/2
14%
5.27
X/X
12%
4.96
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
12%
3.26
2/X
5%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+5.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Accrington Stanley v Crewe Alexandra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.23/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.33
-2% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
271 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 71%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
23.9 Crosses 19.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.9

Accrington Stanley vs Crewe Alexandra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Accrington Stanley
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.82 xG 1.16
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
217 Passes 272
64% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 3-3 HT 2-1 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
12.02.2022 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 4-1 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN1
21.08.2021 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-1 HT 0-1 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
23.02.2021 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-0 HT 1-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN1
24.11.2020 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 1-0 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN1
09.11.2019 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley 0-2 HT 0-1 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra FAK

Accrington Stanley 0-0 Crewe Alexandra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accrington Stanley
0-0
AWAY Crewe Alexandra
0.59 xG 0.31
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 7
210 Passes 178
65% Pass Accuracy 61%
13 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Accrington Stanley vs Crewe Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accrington Stanley and Crewe Alexandra fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Accrington Stanley had 52% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 48%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.59 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Accrington Stanley and 1.33 for Crewe Alexandra.

What was the final score of Accrington Stanley vs Crewe Alexandra?

Accrington Stanley 0-0 Crewe Alexandra in the England - 2nd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accrington Stanley vs Crewe Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Accrington Stanley win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Accrington Stanley 40%, draw 25%, Crewe Alexandra 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Accrington Stanley) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Accrington Stanley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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