Mansfield Town 1-4 Crawley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 6 Apr 2024

Mansfield Town
1-4 HT 0-2
Crawley Town
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Mansfield Town vs Crawley Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.43
2-3 Goals
37%
2.0
4-5 Goals
28%
2.67
6+ Goals
14%
6.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.0
X/1
21%
3.94
X/2
9%
12.55
X/X
11%
6.88
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.9
2/2
11%
8.7
2/X
5%
16.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.9 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.6pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mansfield Town v Crawley Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Crawley Town EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
2.05/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.74
+14% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
330 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 71%
34.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
25.5 Crosses 15.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Mansfield Town vs Crawley Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mansfield Town
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Crawley Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.62 xG 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
299 Passes 264
71% Pass Accuracy 64%
22 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-3 HT 1-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
01.04.2023 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 4-1 HT 1-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
22.10.2022 Crawley Town Crawley Town 3-2 HT 2-2 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
23.04.2022 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Crawley Town Crawley Town İN2
27.11.2021 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
13.03.2021 Crawley Town Crawley Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2

Mansfield Town 1-4 Crawley Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mansfield Town
1-4
AWAY Crawley Town
1.65 xG 0.84
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
370 Passes 264
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
45 Box Touches 22
28 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mansfield Town vs Crawley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crawley Town ran out comfortable winners over Mansfield Town 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Mansfield Town at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mansfield Town had 58% of the ball to Crawley Town's 42%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 1.65 to 0.84 — on chances, Mansfield Town could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mansfield Town had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Mansfield Town and 1.17 for Crawley Town.

What was the final score of Mansfield Town vs Crawley Town?

Mansfield Town 1-4 Crawley Town in the England - 2nd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mansfield Town vs Crawley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mansfield Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Mansfield Town 53%, draw 21%, Crawley Town 26%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mansfield Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mansfield Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN2 More England - 2nd Division
6 Apr 2024
17:00 Accrington Stanley vs Crewe Alexandra Analysis →
17:00 Notts County vs Harrogate Town Analysis →
17:00 Grimsby Town vs Newport County Analysis →
17:00 Forest Green Rovers vs Milton Keynes Dons Analysis →
17:00 Morecambe vs Doncaster Rovers Analysis →
17:00 Sutton United vs Stockport County Analysis →