Notts County 3-0 Harrogate Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 6 Apr 2024

Notts County
3-0 HT 1-0
Harrogate Town
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Notts County vs Harrogate Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.23
2-3 Goals
49%
1.97
4-5 Goals
22%
2.71
6+ Goals
9%
6.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.38
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
19%
4.57
X/2
7%
8.15
X/X
15%
6.09
2/1
5%
20.4
2/2
12%
5.27
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.4pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.1pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Notts County v Harrogate Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notts County EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +21%
1.44/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.32
+23% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
443 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
25.5 Crosses 14.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7

Notts County vs Harrogate Town Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notts County
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Harrogate Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.97 xG 1.26
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
503 Passes 214
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
10 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 3-1 HT 2-0 Notts County Notts County İN2
22.09.2020 Notts County Notts County 0-1 HT 0-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town FAK
02.08.2020 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 3-1 HT 2-0 Notts County Notts County İBSL
13.08.2019 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Notts County Notts County İBSL

Notts County 3-0 Harrogate Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Notts County
3-0
AWAY Harrogate Town
2.02 xG 3.13
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 10
9 Corners 11
469 Passes 278
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Notts County vs Harrogate Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notts County ran out comfortable winners over Harrogate Town 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Notts County as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Notts County had 60% of the ball to Harrogate Town's 40%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 2.02 to 3.13 — the balance of chances actually favoured Harrogate Town.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Harrogate Town led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Notts County and 1.75 for Harrogate Town.

What was the final score of Notts County vs Harrogate Town?

Notts County 3-0 Harrogate Town in the England - 2nd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notts County vs Harrogate Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Notts County 44%, draw 29%, Harrogate Town 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Notts County), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Notts County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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