Sutton United 1-3 Stockport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.11
6+ Goals
10%
19.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.13
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
3%
15.3
X/1
13%
8.7
X/2
15%
4.0
X/X
16%
4.39
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.4
2/X
5%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+6.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockport County EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +14%
0.78/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.90
+60% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
248 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 76%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
22.8 Crosses 19.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Stockport County
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.71 xG 2.36
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
163 Passes 392
60% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.12.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 8-0 HT 4-0 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
07.04.2023 Sutton United Sutton United 0-1 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
29.10.2022 Stockport County Stockport County 3-0 HT 1-0 Sutton United Sutton United İN2
20.03.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 1-1 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İBSL
02.02.2021 Stockport County Stockport County 0-2 HT 0-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
18.01.2020 Stockport County Stockport County 0-0 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutton United
1-3
AWAY Stockport County
1.00 xG 1.95
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
134 Passes 169
49% Pass Accuracy 57%
17 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs Stockport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County saw off Sutton United 3-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sutton United had 48% of the ball to Stockport County's 52%, shots finished 4-14, expected goals 1.00 to 1.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stockport County led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sutton United and 2.17 for Stockport County.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs Stockport County?

Sutton United 1-3 Stockport County in the England - 2nd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs Stockport County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 28%, draw 24%, Stockport County 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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