Grimsby Town 1-4 Walsall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.69
6+ Goals
11%
15.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.62
1/2 EV+
10%
26.5
1/X
11%
13.6
X/1
11%
6.38
X/2
13%
4.78
X/X
10%
4.55
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
18%
3.09
2/X
6%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Walsall EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.22/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.34
+3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
337 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
16.9 Crosses 21.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grimsby Town
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Walsall
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.14 xG 1.63
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
287 Passes 147
71% Pass Accuracy 57%
18 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.01.2024 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-6 HT 1-2 Walsall Walsall İN2
26.08.2023 Walsall Walsall 1-1 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
25.03.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
27.08.2022 Walsall Walsall 1-2 HT 1-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
27.03.2021 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
12.09.2020 Walsall Walsall 1-0 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grimsby Town
1-4
AWAY Walsall
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
364 Passes 182
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
POST-MATCH Grimsby Town vs Walsall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall swept aside Grimsby Town 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Walsall as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Grimsby Town had 62% of the ball to Walsall's 38%, shots finished 8-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Walsall led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Grimsby Town and 1.83 for Walsall.

What was the final score of Grimsby Town vs Walsall?

Grimsby Town 1-4 Walsall in the England - 2nd Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grimsby Town vs Walsall?

Before kick-off our model rated an Walsall win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 32%, draw 27%, Walsall 41%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Walsall), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Walsall) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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