Grimsby Town 1-6 Walsall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Jan 2024

Grimsby Town
1-6 HT 1-2
Walsall
📅01/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Grimsby Town vs Walsall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.18
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.58
6+ Goals
12%
14.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.21
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
18%
4.99
X/2
17%
6.25
X/X
11%
4.42
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
27.0
2/2
10%
4.42
2/X
7%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grimsby Town v Walsall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Walsall EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -21%
1.36/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.25
-13% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
252 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 72%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
20.4 Crosses 15.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Grimsby Town vs Walsall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grimsby Town
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Walsall
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.09 xG 1.31
55% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
256 Passes 182
69% Pass Accuracy 60%
18 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Walsall Walsall 1-1 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
25.03.2023 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Walsall Walsall İN2
27.08.2022 Walsall Walsall 1-2 HT 1-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
27.03.2021 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Walsall Walsall İN2
12.09.2020 Walsall Walsall 1-0 HT 0-0 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2
31.08.2019 Walsall Walsall 1-3 HT 1-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İN2

Grimsby Town 1-6 Walsall — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grimsby Town
1-6
AWAY Walsall
1.93 xG 3.31
66% Ball Possession 34%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 7
379 Passes 145
82% Pass Accuracy 62%
19 Box Touches 29
30 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grimsby Town vs Walsall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Walsall ran out comfortable winners over Grimsby Town 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Grimsby Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Grimsby Town had 66% of the ball to Walsall's 34%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 1.93 to 3.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grimsby Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Grimsby Town and 1.00 for Walsall.

What was the final score of Grimsby Town vs Walsall?

Grimsby Town 1-6 Walsall in the England - 2nd Division on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grimsby Town vs Walsall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grimsby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 42%, draw 25%, Walsall 33%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grimsby Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grimsby Town) ✓ BTTS Yes
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