Crewe Alexandra 1-0 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Jan 2024

📅01/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 27% vs market 22.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.23
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
7%
6.21
X/2
14%
5.09
X/X
14%
4.69
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
22%
3.2
2/X
6%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 45%
+13% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
1.23/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.96
+36% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
274 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 71%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
19.6 Crosses 18.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bradford City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.23 xG 1.48
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
250 Passes 302
69% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
03.05.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 3-2 HT 2-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
27.08.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
31.08.2019 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-1 HT 1-1 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
28.03.2016 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-1 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN1
14.11.2015 Bradford City Bradford City 2-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crewe Alexandra
1-0
AWAY Bradford City
0.99 xG 1.51
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
160 Passes 241
53% Pass Accuracy 61%
14 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 31
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra squeezed past Bradford City 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bradford City at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 43% of the ball to Bradford City's 57%, shots finished 4-16, expected goals 0.99 to 1.51 — on chances, Bradford City could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bradford City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 1.17 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Bradford City?

Crewe Alexandra 1-0 Bradford City in the England - 2nd Division on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bradford City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 30%, draw 27%, Bradford City 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Bradford City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bradford City) ✓ BTTS No
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