Tranmere Rovers 4-2 Notts County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Jan 2024

Tranmere Rovers
4-2 HT 2-2
Notts County
📅01/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Tranmere Rovers vs Notts County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.25
1/2
6%
23.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
17%
6.72
X/2
6%
5.12
X/X
12%
5.35
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
28.5
2/2
23%
2.91
2/X
8%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 9% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
36%
Away Win
43%
-7.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tranmere Rovers v Notts County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Notts County EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -20%
1.06/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.43
+16% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -40%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 470 · 83%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
18.3 Crosses 23.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0

Tranmere Rovers vs Notts County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tranmere Rovers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Notts County
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.75 xG 2.68
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
367 Passes 592
85% Pass Accuracy 91%
23 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Notts County Notts County 2-1 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
23.02.2019 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Notts County Notts County İN2
15.12.2018 Notts County Notts County 3-2 HT 2-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
15.03.2014 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-2 HT 2-1 Notts County Notts County İN1
21.09.2013 Notts County Notts County 2-0 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN1
26.02.2013 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Notts County Notts County İN1

Tranmere Rovers 4-2 Notts County — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tranmere Rovers
4-2
AWAY Notts County
3.41 xG 2.64
33% Ball Possession 67%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 7
241 Passes 618
76% Pass Accuracy 92%
34 Box Touches 19
30 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tranmere Rovers vs Notts County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tranmere Rovers beat Notts County 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Tranmere Rovers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Tranmere Rovers had 33% of the ball to Notts County's 67%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 3.41 to 2.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Notts County led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tranmere Rovers and 1.67 for Notts County.

What was the final score of Tranmere Rovers vs Notts County?

Tranmere Rovers 4-2 Notts County in the England - 2nd Division on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tranmere Rovers vs Notts County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tranmere Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tranmere Rovers 38%, draw 26%, Notts County 36%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tranmere Rovers), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tranmere Rovers) ✓ BTTS Yes
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