Accrington Stanley 3-0 Salford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Jan 2024

📅01/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.95
6+ Goals
14%
8.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.28
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
10%
13.45
X/1
10%
4.3
X/2
9%
8.82
X/X
10%
5.42
2/1
9%
21.75
2/2
14%
6.21
2/X
6%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-11.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.0pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Accrington Stanley EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Salford City EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +22%
2.07/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.23
+23% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
Crosses 18.2
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Accrington Stanley
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Salford City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.41 xG 1.14
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
222 Passes 313
65% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Salford City Salford City 1-2 HT 0-2 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İN2
20.09.2022 Salford City Salford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İNTK
21.01.2020 Salford City Salford City 2-1 HT 1-1 Accrington Stanley Accrington Stanley İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Accrington Stanley
3-0
AWAY Salford City
2.54 xG 1.27
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
210 Passes 273
66% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Accrington Stanley vs Salford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Accrington Stanley ran out comfortable winners over Salford City 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Accrington Stanley as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Accrington Stanley had 44% of the ball to Salford City's 56%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 2.54 to 1.27.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Accrington Stanley and 1.00 for Salford City.

What was the final score of Accrington Stanley vs Salford City?

Accrington Stanley 3-0 Salford City in the England - 2nd Division on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Accrington Stanley vs Salford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Accrington Stanley win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Accrington Stanley 41%, draw 26%, Salford City 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Accrington Stanley), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Accrington Stanley) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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