Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Port Vale v Fleetwood Town — Team-Based Signals
Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Port Vale 3-3 Fleetwood Town — Actual Match Statistics
Port Vale and Fleetwood Town traded blows to a 3-3 standstill. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
A gentle 53% lean on Port Vale didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The market had leaned harder still (1.57, ~64%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 50% and both teams to score at 52%. If anything the market was more convinced: the over-2.5 price stood at 1.64, roughly 61%.
On the day, Port Vale had 57% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 43%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 2.22 to 0.90.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Port Vale had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Port Vale and 1.67 for Fleetwood Town.
Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town Result & Final Score
Port Vale 3-3 Fleetwood Town in the England - Futbol League Cup on 11/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Port Vale vs Fleetwood Town Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 53%, draw 24%, Fleetwood Town 23%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Port Vale) went the other way.