Milton Keynes Dons 0-4 Swindon Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 11 Nov 2025

📅11/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
56%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.28
2-3 Goals
32%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.82
6+ Goals
14%
8.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+4.1pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.3pp
56%
Away Win
58%
-1.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milton Keynes Dons EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Town EU Bookmakers 62%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.10/4.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-7% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +35%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
208 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 84%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.7 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milton Keynes Dons
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Swindon Town
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.59 xG 0.74
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
413 Passes 329
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Swindon Town Swindon Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
09.11.2024 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 3-1 HT 1-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
17.02.2024 Swindon Town Swindon Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN2
28.10.2023 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 3-2 HT 1-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
24.04.2021 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 5-0 HT 3-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN1
29.12.2020 Swindon Town Swindon Town 1-4 HT 1-3 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milton Keynes Dons
0-4
AWAY Swindon Town
0.45 xG 5.06
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 5
285 Passes 222
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
11 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Town ran out comfortable winners over Milton Keynes Dons 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Swindon Town as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Milton Keynes Dons had 55% of the ball to Swindon Town's 45%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.45 to 5.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milton Keynes Dons had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Milton Keynes Dons and 0.83 for Swindon Town.

What was the final score of Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?

Milton Keynes Dons 0-4 Swindon Town in the England - Futbol League Cup on 11/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Swindon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Milton Keynes Dons 26%, draw 18%, Swindon Town 56%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swindon Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swindon Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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