Burton Albion vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burton Albion v Crewe Alexandra — Team-Based Signals
Burton Albion vs Crewe Alexandra Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
Burton Albion
HAZ
4-1
HT 3-1
Crewe Alexandra
İN1
2-0
HT 1-0
Burton Albion
İN1
0-3
HT 0-3
Burton Albion
İN1
1-1
HT 0-0
Crewe Alexandra
İN1
1-3
HT 0-3
Burton Albion
İNTK
Burton Albion 1-3 Crewe Alexandra — Actual Match Statistics
Crewe Alexandra got the better of Burton Albion 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Burton Albion at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Burton Albion had 48% of the ball to Crewe Alexandra's 52%, shots finished 26-13, expected goals 3.69 to 1.40 — on chances, Burton Albion could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burton Albion had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Burton Albion and 1.17 for Crewe Alexandra.
What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Crewe Alexandra?
Burton Albion 1-3 Crewe Alexandra in the England - Futbol League Cup on 11/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Crewe Alexandra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burton Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 46%, draw 22%, Crewe Alexandra 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Burton Albion) went the other way.