Bristol Rovers 1-0 Plymouth Argyle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 11 Nov 2025

📅11/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.32
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.81
6+ Goals
12%
7.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.6pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 48%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
0.62/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.81
-49% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / +32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
298 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
11.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
14.6 Crosses 21.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol Rovers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.04 xG 1.57
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
249 Passes 316
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.07.2024 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 2-1 HT 2-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle HAZ
25.04.2023 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-0 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
10.01.2023 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 0-2 HT 0-2 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNTK
22.10.2022 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 2-2 HT 0-2 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1
30.08.2022 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-1 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İNTK
20.03.2021 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-0 HT 2-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol Rovers
1-0
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.31 xG 0.23
76% Ball Possession 24%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 5
625 Passes 148
90% Pass Accuracy 67%
15 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bristol Rovers vs Plymouth Argyle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol Rovers edged past Plymouth Argyle 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Plymouth Argyle at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bristol Rovers had 76% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 24%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.31 to 0.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Plymouth Argyle led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bristol Rovers and 1.67 for Plymouth Argyle.

What was the final score of Bristol Rovers vs Plymouth Argyle?

Bristol Rovers 1-0 Plymouth Argyle in the England - Futbol League Cup on 11/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol Rovers vs Plymouth Argyle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Plymouth Argyle win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bristol Rovers 33%, draw 25%, Plymouth Argyle 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Plymouth Argyle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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