Coleraine FC 4-0 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Cup, 9 Jan 2026

📅09/01/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.37
Draw
15%
4.62
Away
25%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.51
Over
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.72
No
53%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
23%
5.26
2-3
44%
1.98
4-5
23%
2.57
6+
10%
6.06
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.26 — our 23% vs market 13.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Coleraine FC The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC The Market 16%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better
Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better
Great Attackvs comparable teams
Great Defensevs comparable teams
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
393 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Crusaders FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
29.11.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
06.09.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-4 HT 0-3 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
07.05.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
19.04.2025 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
18.01.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
24.11.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coleraine FC
4-0
AWAY Crusaders FC
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Coleraine FC cruised past Crusaders FC 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Coleraine FC as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 52% and both teams to score at 47%. The market went further still — the over-2.5 price closed at 1.51, about 66%.

Under the surface, possession split 62% to 38% in Coleraine FC's favour, shots finished 20-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Coleraine FC against 1.17 for Crusaders FC.

Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC Result & Final Score

Coleraine FC 4-0 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Cup on 09/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 60%, draw 15%, Crusaders FC 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coleraine FC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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