Coleraine FC 1-2 Crusaders FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 26% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.98
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
13%
4.75
X/2
12%
6.6
X/X
13%
4.96
2/1
12%
25.0
2/2
12%
4.7
2/X
8%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.76/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.40
+19% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Crusaders FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
05.11.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRLK
05.10.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
06.05.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-2 HT 2-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
20.04.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
16.03.2024 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
04.11.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC nicked a narrow win over Coleraine FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Coleraine FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Coleraine FC and 1.67 for Crusaders FC.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC?

Coleraine FC 1-2 Crusaders FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 43%, draw 28%, Crusaders FC 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Coleraine FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →