Hamburg 3-4 Hannover 96 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 9 Feb 2024

Hamburg
3-4 HT 1-3
Hannover 96
📅09/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Hamburg vs Hannover 96 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.61
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.93
2-3 Goals
37%
2.04
4-5 Goals
26%
2.54
6+ Goals
12%
5.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.13
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
4%
13.4
X/1
14%
4.43
X/2
6%
9.32
X/X
15%
6.37
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.35
2/2
15%
5.89
2/X
8%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.35 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.3pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hamburg v Hannover 96 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
2.08/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.53
+3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
21.8 Crosses 17.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Hamburg vs Hannover 96 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hannover 96
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.07 xG 0.90
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
374 Passes 282
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 0-1 HT 0-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
08.04.2023 Hamburg Hamburg 6-1 HT 2-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
30.09.2022 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 1-2 HT 1-1 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
07.05.2022 Hamburg Hamburg 2-1 HT 2-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
05.12.2021 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 1-0 HT 1-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
04.04.2021 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 3-3 HT 0-2 Hamburg Hamburg AL2

Hamburg 3-4 Hannover 96 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburg
3-4
AWAY Hannover 96
2.38 xG 2.11
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 7
358 Passes 220
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
35 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hamburg vs Hannover 96
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hannover 96 squeezed past Hamburg 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hamburg at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Hamburg had 58% of the ball to Hannover 96's 42%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 2.38 to 2.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hamburg and 1.17 for Hannover 96.

What was the final score of Hamburg vs Hannover 96?

Hamburg 3-4 Hannover 96 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg vs Hannover 96?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hamburg 45%, draw 27%, Hannover 96 28%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hamburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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