Wehen Wiesbaden 1-1 Nürnberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 9 Feb 2024

Wehen Wiesbaden
1-1 HT 0-0
Nürnberg
📅09/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Nürnberg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
2.89
6+ Goals
14%
8.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.48
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
13%
4.56
X/2
11%
7.76
X/X
14%
5.39
2/1
8%
21.6
2/2
11%
5.22
2/X
6%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wehen Wiesbaden v Nürnberg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 30%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.97/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.78
+13% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
36.0 Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Nürnberg Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Nürnberg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
0.81 xG 2.82
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
292 Passes 380
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 2-1 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2
16.06.2020 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-6 HT 0-3 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
30.11.2019 Nürnberg Nürnberg 0-2 HT 0-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2
22.02.2009 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2
14.09.2008 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-2 HT 2-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2

Wehen Wiesbaden 1-1 Nürnberg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
1-1
AWAY Nürnberg
0.33 xG 0.94
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 11
418 Passes 408
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wehen Wiesbaden vs Nürnberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wehen Wiesbaden and Nürnberg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Wehen Wiesbaden at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wehen Wiesbaden had 50% of the ball to Nürnberg's 50%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.33 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nürnberg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wehen Wiesbaden and 2.20 for Nürnberg.

What was the final score of Wehen Wiesbaden vs Nürnberg?

Wehen Wiesbaden 1-1 Nürnberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wehen Wiesbaden vs Nürnberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wehen Wiesbaden win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wehen Wiesbaden 45%, draw 26%, Nürnberg 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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