Neftçi PFK 1-1 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 9 Feb 2024

Neftçi PFK
1-1 HT 1-1
Sumqayıt
📅09/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Cup – 2023/2024

Neftçi PFK vs Sumqayıt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-8.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Neftçi PFK v Sumqayıt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 29%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.23/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.21
-92% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +52%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
284 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.2

Neftçi PFK vs Sumqayıt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftçi PFK
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sumqayıt
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.02.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-1 HT 2-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
31.01.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-3 HT 0-3 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERK
11.11.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-2 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
02.09.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-1 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
08.04.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-4 HT 0-1 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
05.02.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 2-0 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
POST-MATCH Neftçi PFK vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftçi PFK and Sumqayıt couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neftçi PFK had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Neftçi PFK and 1.00 for Sumqayıt.

What was the final score of Neftçi PFK vs Sumqayıt?

Neftçi PFK 1-1 Sumqayıt in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftçi PFK vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Neftçi PFK 39%, draw 27%, Sumqayıt 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Neftçi PFK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neftçi PFK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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