Qabala 2-0 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
42%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.6
Over 2.5
52%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
37%
-7.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
42%
Away Win
34%
+7.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
59%
-10.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
41%
+10.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.5pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qabala EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 37%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qabala
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
31.01.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 1-1 Qabala Qabala AZERK
22.10.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-4 HT 1-2 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
12.08.2023 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 2-0 HT 1-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
POST-MATCH Qabala vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qabala saw off Araz Nahçıvan 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Araz Nahçıvan at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Qabala and 2.33 for Araz Nahçıvan.

What was the final score of Qabala vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Qabala 2-0 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qabala vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Araz Nahçıvan win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Qabala 30%, draw 28%, Araz Nahçıvan 42%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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