Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 Qabala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.62
Over 2.5
50%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
58%
-8.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
42%
+8.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Qabala EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Araz Nahçıvan
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Qabala
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
22.10.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-4 HT 1-2 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
12.08.2023 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 2-0 HT 1-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
POST-MATCH Araz Nahçıvan vs Qabala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Araz Nahçıvan and Qabala shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Araz Nahçıvan and 0.50 for Qabala.

What was the final score of Araz Nahçıvan vs Qabala?

Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 Qabala in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Araz Nahçıvan vs Qabala?

Before kick-off our model rated an Qabala win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Araz Nahçıvan 33%, draw 28%, Qabala 39%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Qabala) ✗ BTTS No
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