Venezuela U23 1-2 Brezilya U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
54%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
25%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
54%
Away Win
49%
+4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezuela U23 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Brezilya U23 EU Bookmakers 54%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
1.38/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.38
+50% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) / +0%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
229 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 74%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
11.0 Crosses 18.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezuela U23
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Brezilya U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.38 xG 0.84
31% Ball Possession 70%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
179 Passes 428
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2024 Venezuela U23 Venezuela U23 3-1 HT 2-0 Brezilya U23 Brezilya U23 COE
11.10.2019 Brezilya U23 Brezilya U23 4-1 Venezuela U23 Venezuela U23 HU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezuela U23
1-2
AWAY Brezilya U23
1.48 xG 1.34
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
233 Passes 277
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Venezuela U23 vs Brezilya U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brezilya U23 nicked a narrow win over Venezuela U23 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brezilya U23 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Venezuela U23 had 48% of the ball to Brezilya U23's 52%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.48 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Venezuela U23 and 2.50 for Brezilya U23.

What was the final score of Venezuela U23 vs Brezilya U23?

Venezuela U23 1-2 Brezilya U23 in the CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezuela U23 vs Brezilya U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brezilya U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Venezuela U23 21%, draw 25%, Brezilya U23 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brezilya U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brezilya U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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