Odisha FC 1-1 FC Goa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 9 Feb 2024

Odisha FC
1-1 HT 1-1
FC Goa
📅09/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2023/2024

Odisha FC vs FC Goa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.05
6+ Goals
8%
9.79
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 30% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
32%
+10.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-7.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.7pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Odisha FC v FC Goa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odisha FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Goa EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.18/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.22
-26% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -2%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
216 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
16.3 Crosses 22.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0

Odisha FC vs FC Goa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odisha FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FC Goa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.03 xG 1.95
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
211 Passes 347
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.01.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 2-3 HT 0-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HINSK
07.10.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 3-2 HT 0-1 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
06.02.2023 Odisha FC Odisha FC 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
10.12.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 3-0 HT 0-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
01.02.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 1-1 HT 0-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
24.12.2021 Odisha FC Odisha FC 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL

Odisha FC 1-1 FC Goa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odisha FC
1-1
AWAY FC Goa
0.85 xG 0.46
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
390 Passes 240
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Odisha FC vs FC Goa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odisha FC and FC Goa shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Odisha FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Odisha FC had 59% of the ball to FC Goa's 41%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.85 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Goa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Odisha FC and 1.83 for FC Goa.

What was the final score of Odisha FC vs FC Goa?

Odisha FC 1-1 FC Goa in the India - Super League on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odisha FC vs FC Goa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odisha FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Odisha FC 43%, draw 24%, FC Goa 34%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Odisha FC) ✗ BTTS No
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