09/02/2024
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Ried vs WSPG Wels Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
25%
Draw
30%
37%
Away Win
33%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ried v WSPG Wels — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ried
EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY
WSPG Wels
EU Bookmakers 37%
-27% /
-27%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-29%
/
-41%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
10
Total Shots
9
3
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
3
392 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
287 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Ried vs WSPG Wels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ried ran out comfortable winners over WSPG Wels 4-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Ried made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
What was the final score of Ried vs WSPG Wels?
Ried 4-0 WSPG Wels in the Friendlies on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ried vs WSPG Wels?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ried 38%, draw 25%, WSPG Wels 37%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ried), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Ried)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
9 Feb 2024