Rosenborg 2-1 Aalesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.43
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.62
2-3 Goals
39%
2.13
4-5 Goals
26%
2.46
6+ Goals
14%
5.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.69
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
16.6
X/1
18%
3.92
X/2
8%
13.45
X/X
8%
7.74
2/1 EV+ ✓
10%
18.5
2/2
8%
8.77
2/X
5%
16.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.5 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
65%
-7.6pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.9pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.3pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalesund EU Bookmakers 19%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
2.61/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.06
+31% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Aalesund
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.88 xG 0.90
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
353 Passes 331
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 22
27 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 4-0 HT 2-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
02.07.2023 Aalesund Aalesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
21.08.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-1 HT 1-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
17.07.2022 Aalesund Aalesund 0-0 HT 0-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
13.06.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-0 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund HAZ
27.09.2020 Aalesund Aalesund 1-2 HT 0-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg
2-1
AWAY Aalesund
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rosenborg vs Aalesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg squeezed past Aalesund 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rosenborg as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rosenborg had 53% of the ball to Aalesund's 47%, shots finished 6-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosenborg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rosenborg and 0.50 for Aalesund.

What was the final score of Rosenborg vs Aalesund?

Rosenborg 2-1 Aalesund in the Friendlies on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg vs Aalesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 58%, draw 21%, Aalesund 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosenborg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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