Aston Villa U21 2-1 Everton U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 9 Feb 2024

📅09/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.17
Over 2.5
59%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.32
No
35%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.7pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
28%
+12.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
72%
-12.6pp
65%
BTTS Yes
72%
-7.0pp
35%
BTTS No
28%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa U21
2-1
AWAY Everton U21
1.88 xG 1.12
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
278 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Crosses 12
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aston Villa U21 vs Everton U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa U21 squeezed past Everton U21 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Aston Villa U21 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

On the day, Aston Villa U21 had 46% of the ball to Everton U21's 54%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.88 to 1.12.

What was the final score of Aston Villa U21 vs Everton U21?

Aston Villa U21 2-1 Everton U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa U21 vs Everton U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa U21 38%, draw 28%, Everton U21 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aston Villa U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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