Arsenal U21 1-1 Leeds United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 9 Feb 2024

Arsenal U21
1-1 HT 0-1
Leeds United U21
📅09/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - Premier League 2 (League 1) – 2023/2024

Arsenal U21 vs Leeds United U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.35
No
44%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
59%
-0.3pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
19%
Away Win
21%
-2.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
24%
+16.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
76%
-16.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
70%
-14.3pp
44%
BTTS No
30%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal U21 v Leeds United U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal U21 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United U21 EU Bookmakers 25%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-60% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.0 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Arsenal U21 1-1 Leeds United U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal U21
1-1
AWAY Leeds United U21
1.48 xG 0.45
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
14 Corners 1
376 Passes 183
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
36 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal U21 vs Leeds United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal U21 and Leeds United U21 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Arsenal U21 carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Arsenal U21 had 64% of the ball to Leeds United U21's 36%, shots finished 19-3, expected goals 1.48 to 0.45.

What was the final score of Arsenal U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Arsenal U21 1-1 Leeds United U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 09/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Arsenal U21 59%, draw 22%, Leeds United U21 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arsenal U21), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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