Banik Ostrava 1-0 Sigma Olomouc — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
28%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.4pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+7.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-1.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+1.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.2pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 22%
-11% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
2.34/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.96
+7% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
476 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 68%
37.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
26.1 Crosses 14.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banik Ostrava
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.09 xG 2.10
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
394 Passes 222
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 2-2 HT 1-1 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
09.03.2024 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-2 HT 0-2 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
30.09.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 0-3 HT 0-2 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
30.04.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-4 HT 1-2 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
30.07.2022 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 0-3 HT 0-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
19.02.2022 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-0 HT 0-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banik Ostrava
1-0
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
2.64 xG 0.48
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
281 Passes 409
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Banik Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banik Ostrava squeezed past Sigma Olomouc 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Banik Ostrava as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Banik Ostrava had 43% of the ball to Sigma Olomouc's 57%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 2.64 to 0.48 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Banik Ostrava's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banik Ostrava had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Banik Ostrava and 1.33 for Sigma Olomouc.

What was the final score of Banik Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc?

Banik Ostrava 1-0 Sigma Olomouc in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banik Ostrava vs Sigma Olomouc?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banik Ostrava win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Banik Ostrava 48%, draw 26%, Sigma Olomouc 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Banik Ostrava) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Banik Ostrava) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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