Jablonec 4-2 Slovacko — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.95
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.55
6+ Goals
12%
14.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.55 — our 26% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.2pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovacko EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -17%
1.18/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.75
+6% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
20.2 Crosses 16.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Slovacko
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.83 xG 0.69
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
248 Passes 278
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Slovacko Slovacko 0-0 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
09.03.2024 Slovacko Slovacko 0-1 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
30.09.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 2-0 HT 2-0 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
05.04.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 0-1 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
18.09.2022 Slovacko Slovacko 0-2 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
18.12.2021 Slovacko Slovacko 2-1 HT 1-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
4-2
AWAY Slovacko
2.19 xG 0.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
260 Passes 264
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
40 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs Slovacko
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec beat Slovacko 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jablonec as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Jablonec had 50% of the ball to Slovacko's 50%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.19 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jablonec had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jablonec and 0.50 for Slovacko.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs Slovacko?

Jablonec 4-2 Slovacko in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs Slovacko?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 50%, draw 25%, Slovacko 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jablonec), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jablonec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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