Cagliari U20 1-0 Cesena U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
15%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.8pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cagliari U20 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesena U20 EU Bookmakers 34%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+75% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +111% / +52%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cagliari U20
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Cesena U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Cesena U20 Cesena U20 1-1 HT 1-0 Cagliari U20 Cagliari U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cagliari U20
1-0
AWAY Cesena U20
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cagliari U20 vs Cesena U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cagliari U20 nicked a narrow win over Cesena U20 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cagliari U20 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cagliari U20 had 51% of the ball to Cesena U20's 49%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Cagliari U20 vs Cesena U20?

Cagliari U20 1-0 Cesena U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cagliari U20 vs Cesena U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cagliari U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cagliari U20 43%, draw 26%, Cesena U20 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cagliari U20), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cagliari U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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