Osnabrück 1-0 Borussia Dortmund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.21
Over
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
19%
4.48
2-3
45%
1.92
4-5
28%
2.96
6+
8%
8.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.58
1/2
3%
31.5
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
16%
4.83
X/2
9%
7.66
X/X
14%
5.6
2/1
3%
21.3
2/2
15%
5.22
2/X
5%
13.65
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Osnabrück The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II The Market 31%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.66 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.54
1.18 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.82
Average Attack Strength Great
Weak Defense Strength Weak
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 73%
18 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osnabrück
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
354 Passes 279
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
24.01.2023 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-2 HT 1-2 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
29.01.2022 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 2-2 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
25.08.2021 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-1 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
18.04.2015 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-1 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
18.10.2014 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 2-2 HT 0-1 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osnabrück
1 - 0
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 9
244 Passes 244
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Osnabrück vs Borussia Dortmund II
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Osnabrück came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Borussia Dortmund II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Osnabrück as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Osnabrück had 50% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund II's 50%, shots finished 16-15.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osnabrück had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Osnabrück and 1.33 for Borussia Dortmund II.

Osnabrück vs Borussia Dortmund II Result & Final Score

Osnabrück 1 - 0 Borussia Dortmund II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Osnabrück vs Borussia Dortmund II Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Osnabrück win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Osnabrück 49%, draw 24%, Borussia Dortmund II 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osnabrück) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Osnabrück) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
9 Feb 2025
15:30 Hansa Rostock vs Viktoria Köln Analysis →
18:30 Verl vs Hannover 96 II Analysis →