Fortuna Köln 3-3 Köln II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-10.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+9.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln II EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +17%
1.47/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.63
-19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Köln
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Köln II
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Köln II Köln II 1-2 HT 1-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
01.12.2023 Köln II Köln II 3-3 HT 3-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
06.05.2023 Köln II Köln II 3-1 HT 1-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
10.11.2022 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 2-2 HT 0-0 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
23.04.2022 Köln II Köln II 2-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
08.12.2021 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-1 HT 0-1 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Fortuna Köln vs Köln II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Köln and Köln II couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fortuna Köln and 2.00 for Köln II.

What was the final score of Fortuna Köln vs Köln II?

Fortuna Köln 3-3 Köln II in the Germany - Regional League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Köln vs Köln II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Köln 39%, draw 27%, Köln II 34%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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