Köln II 1-2 Fortuna Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+4.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.8pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -15%
1.46/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.23
-1% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln II
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Fortuna Köln
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2023 Köln II Köln II 3-3 HT 3-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
06.05.2023 Köln II Köln II 3-1 HT 1-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
10.11.2022 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 2-2 HT 0-0 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
23.04.2022 Köln II Köln II 2-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
08.12.2021 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 1-1 HT 0-1 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
20.02.2021 Köln II Köln II 1-2 HT 0-2 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln II
1-2
AWAY Fortuna Köln
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Köln II vs Fortuna Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Köln squeezed past Köln II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fortuna Köln as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Köln II had 61% of the ball to Fortuna Köln's 39%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Köln II and 1.83 for Fortuna Köln.

What was the final score of Köln II vs Fortuna Köln?

Köln II 1-2 Fortuna Köln in the Germany - Regional League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln II vs Fortuna Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Köln II 29%, draw 27%, Fortuna Köln 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Köln), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
18 Aug 2024
14:00 Hamburg II vs Havelse Analysis →
15:00 St. Pauli II vs Eintracht Norderstedt Analysis →
15:00 Wuppertaler SV vs Paderborn 07 II Analysis →