Wuppertaler SV 1-4 Paderborn 07 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.3pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuppertaler SV EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn 07 II EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.40/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.39
-18% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuppertaler SV
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Paderborn 07 II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
03.03.2024 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV 3-2 HT 2-1 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II ALMBÖL
09.09.2023 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II 4-1 HT 1-0 Wuppertaler SV Wuppertaler SV ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Wuppertaler SV vs Paderborn 07 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn 07 II ran out comfortable winners over Wuppertaler SV 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Wuppertaler SV at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Wuppertaler SV and 3.00 for Paderborn 07 II.

What was the final score of Wuppertaler SV vs Paderborn 07 II?

Wuppertaler SV 1-4 Paderborn 07 II in the Germany - Regional League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuppertaler SV vs Paderborn 07 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wuppertaler SV win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Wuppertaler SV 43%, draw 23%, Paderborn 07 II 34%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Wuppertaler SV) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wuppertaler SV) ✓ Over 2.5
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