St. Pauli II 1-1 Eintracht Norderstedt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
38%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
29%
+9.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
38%
Away Win
46%
-8.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Norderstedt EU Bookmakers 50%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.26/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.62/1.63
-8% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Eintracht Norderstedt
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-0 HT 0-0 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt ALMBÖL
08.10.2023 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 3-2 HT 1-2 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
16.04.2023 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 1-3 HT 0-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
09.10.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-3 HT 1-0 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt ALMBÖL
31.10.2021 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-1 HT 0-1 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt ALMBÖL
22.08.2021 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 2-2 HT 0-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pauli II
1-1
AWAY Eintracht Norderstedt
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH St. Pauli II vs Eintracht Norderstedt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli II and Eintracht Norderstedt couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, St. Pauli II had 52% of the ball to Eintracht Norderstedt's 48%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eintracht Norderstedt led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for St. Pauli II and 1.67 for Eintracht Norderstedt.

What was the final score of St. Pauli II vs Eintracht Norderstedt?

St. Pauli II 1-1 Eintracht Norderstedt in the Germany - Regional League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli II vs Eintracht Norderstedt?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli II 38%, draw 24%, Eintracht Norderstedt 38%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
18 Aug 2024
14:00 Hamburg II vs Havelse Analysis →
15:00 Köln II vs Fortuna Köln Analysis →
15:00 Wuppertaler SV vs Paderborn 07 II Analysis →