St. Pauli II 2-0 Eintracht Norderstedt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Norderstedt EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -20%
1.21/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.88
-18% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
238 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Eintracht Norderstedt
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 10
9 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 3-2 HT 1-2 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
16.04.2023 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 1-3 HT 0-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
09.10.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-3 HT 1-0 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt ALMBÖL
31.10.2021 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-1 HT 0-1 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt ALMBÖL
22.08.2021 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt 2-2 HT 0-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
25.10.2020 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 3-0 HT 2-0 Eintracht Norderstedt Eintracht Norderstedt ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pauli II
2-0
AWAY Eintracht Norderstedt
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH St. Pauli II vs Eintracht Norderstedt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli II got the better of Eintracht Norderstedt 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had St. Pauli II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, St. Pauli II had 49% of the ball to Eintracht Norderstedt's 51%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eintracht Norderstedt led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for St. Pauli II and 1.67 for Eintracht Norderstedt.

What was the final score of St. Pauli II vs Eintracht Norderstedt?

St. Pauli II 2-0 Eintracht Norderstedt in the Germany - Regional League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli II vs Eintracht Norderstedt?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli II 41%, draw 26%, Eintracht Norderstedt 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pauli II), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Pauli II) ✓ Under 2.5
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