Altglienicke 2-3 FSV Zwickau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.37
Draw
32%
4.62
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
68%
-19.8pp
32%
Draw
18%
+13.7pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+6.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altglienicke EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY FSV Zwickau EU Bookmakers 17%
-21% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.33/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/2.61
-3% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altglienicke
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FSV Zwickau
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
22.10.2023 FSV Zwickau FSV Zwickau 0-5 HT 0-2 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altglienicke
2-3
AWAY FSV Zwickau
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Altglienicke vs FSV Zwickau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Zwickau squeezed past Altglienicke 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Altglienicke at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Altglienicke had 66% of the ball to FSV Zwickau's 34%, shots finished 19-7.

What was the final score of Altglienicke vs FSV Zwickau?

Altglienicke 2-3 FSV Zwickau in the Germany - Regional League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altglienicke vs FSV Zwickau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altglienicke win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Altglienicke 48%, draw 32%, FSV Zwickau 20%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Altglienicke) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Altglienicke) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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