Homburg vs Balingen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Homburg v Balingen — Team-Based Signals
Homburg vs Balingen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Homburg
ALMBÖL
2-2
HT 0-2
Balingen
ALMBÖL
0-3
HT 0-2
Homburg
ALMBÖL
0-0
HT 0-0
Balingen
ALMBÖL
2-1
HT 0-1
Homburg
ALMBÖL
1-0
HT 1-0
Homburg
ALMBÖL
Homburg 2-1 Balingen — Actual Match Statistics
Homburg squeezed past Balingen 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Homburg as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Homburg had 54% of the ball to Balingen's 46%, shots finished 16-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Homburg and 0.83 for Balingen.
What was the final score of Homburg vs Balingen?
Homburg 2-1 Balingen in the Germany - Regional League on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Homburg vs Balingen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Homburg 53%, draw 20%, Balingen 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Homburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.